Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.174716 0.201197 0.231668 0.269625 0.316067 0.371597 0.443867
2025-03-09 0.130928 0.163408 0.205047 0.263567 0.345747 0.460380 0.638778
2025-03-16 0.105164 0.138812 0.185405 0.257060 0.369222 0.547215 0.872719
2025-03-23 0.091730 0.126725 0.178379 0.264219 0.412349 0.677984 1.250429
2025-03-30 0.079411 0.113451 0.166149 0.259114 0.432546 0.777093 1.637260
2025-04-06 0.071708 0.105606 0.160434 0.262742 0.468614 0.922364 2.250724
2025-04-13 0.064457 0.097244 0.152168 0.259489 0.489703 1.045618 2.935607
2025-04-20 0.059683 0.092192 0.148575 0.263986 0.528518 1.233394 4.081387
2025-04-27 0.055981 0.088406 0.146520 0.270925 0.575424 1.473647 5.873557
2025-05-04 0.052642 0.084794 0.144153 0.276577 0.621462 1.746058 8.517515
2025-05-11 0.049900 0.081901 0.142683 0.283838 0.674987 2.090875 12.884181
2025-05-18 0.047028 0.078426 0.139525 0.286453 0.716684 2.432376 19.081443
2025-05-25 0.044260 0.074919 0.135962 0.287741 0.756852 2.821773 29.165386
2025-06-01 0.041543 0.071249 0.131603 0.286231 0.788402 3.217029 44.726792
2025-06-08 0.038798 0.067259 0.126055 0.280499 0.803602 3.552089 66.286596
2025-06-15 0.037361 0.065739 0.125739 0.288994 0.876474 4.372966 136.995927
2025-06-22 0.035113 0.062356 0.120800 0.283401 0.891870 4.830653 229.503502
2025-06-29 0.033687 0.060547 0.119269 0.287520 0.951145 5.783874 561.535016
2025-07-06 0.031927 0.057884 0.115420 0.283877 0.975048 6.494277 1292.320274
2025-07-13 0.030801 0.056473 0.114410 0.288937 1.043897 7.904245 6581.649775
2025-07-20 0.029895 0.055458 0.114242 0.296743 1.132809 9.944557 254326.719140
2025-07-27 0.028973 0.054329 0.113656 0.303107 1.219940 12.453300 NaN
2025-08-03 0.028188 0.053439 0.113575 0.311289 1.325320 16.052433 NaN